SEC 13F Intelligence

Managers / Q4 2025 · view latest →

Bayesian Capital Management, LP

CIK 0001632551 · 54 COLERIDGE STREET, BROOKLYN, NY, 11235 · 718-332-4567

Reported Value
$44M
Q4 2025
Positions
108
Filings on Record
30
2019–present window
Filed
Feb 17, 2026
original filing

Summary

Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported $44M in U.S.-listed holdings across 108 positions for Q4 2025.

Its largest position, MSFT, represents 4.7% of the portfolio.

Compared with Q3 2025, the fund opened 77 new positions and exited 472.

Portfolio Metrics

Turnover
+10.5%
vs prior filed quarter
Top-10 Concentration
+28.8%
share of reported value
Largest Position
+4.7%
Microsoft
New / Exited
77 / 472
positions this quarter

Methodology: turnover is min(value bought, value sold) ÷ average reported value across the two quarters — value-based, so market moves inflate it slightly versus a share-based measure. Concentration and largest position are shares of the filing’s total reported value, options excluded, with multiple share classes and repeated sub-manager rows for the same issuer combined into one position — the same rule the holdings table uses by default. New/exited counts compare against the prior filed quarter. All figures derive solely from the fund’s 13F filings.

Reported Value by Quarter

13F Reported Value
Q4 ’18: $488MQ4 ’18Q1 ’19: $521MQ2 ’19: $484MQ3 ’19: $529MQ4 ’19: $585MQ4 ’19Q1 ’20: $463MQ2 ’20: $453MQ3 ’20: $409MQ4 ’20: $383MQ4 ’20Q1 ’21: $435MQ2 ’21: $383MQ3 ’21: $345MQ4 ’21: $316MQ4 ’21Q1 ’22: $670MQ2 ’22: $537MQ3 ’22: $493MQ4 ’22: $684MQ4 ’22Q1 ’23: $808MQ2 ’23: $931MQ3 ’23: $876MQ4 ’23: $942MQ4 ’23Q1 ’24: $1.0BQ2 ’24: $873MQ3 ’24: $853MQ4 ’24: $817MQ4 ’24Q1 ’25: $604MQ2 ’25: $633MQ3 ’25: $490MQ4 ’25: $44MQ4 ’25Q1 ’26: $82Mfilingsflow.com

Portfolio Composition

By security type
Common Stock: 85.5%ETP: 5.8%ADR: 5.3%REIT: 2.8%NY Reg Shrs: 0.6%
  • Common Stock · 85.5% · $37M
  • ETP · 5.8% · $3M
  • ADR · 5.3% · $2M
  • REIT · 2.8% · $1M
  • NY Reg Shrs · 0.6% · $249,517

Quarter-over-Quarter Changes full breakdown →

vs Q3 2025 (amended baseline)

IssuerMoveShare ΔShares nowValue ΔValue now
JPMJPMORGAN CHASE & CO.NEW+4.0K4.0K+$1M$1M
MCHPMICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY INC.NEW+14.8K14.8K+$939,870$939,870
TTDTHE TRADE DESK INCNEW+23.0K23.0K+$873,080$873,080
IWMISHARES TRNEW+3.5K3.5K+$861,560$861,560
MDLZMONDELEZ INTL INCNEW+15.7K15.7K+$845,131$845,131
ABTABBOTT LABSNEW+6.1K6.1K+$764,269$764,269
COOCOOPER COS INCNEW+9.0K9.0K+$737,640$737,640
KRESPDR SERIES TRUSTNEW+11.2K11.2K+$725,872$725,872

Value changes conflate price moves with buying and selling — share changes are the real signal. Share counts are not split-adjusted.

Holdings — Q4 2025

107 positions
Export to Excel
#IssuerClass% PortfolioValue ↓Shares
1MSFTMICROSOFT CORPhistory →COM4.69%$2M4.2K
2NVDANVIDIA CORPORATIONhistory →COM3.67%$2M8.6K
3TSMTAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MFG LTDhistory →SPONSORED ADS3.58%$2M5.1K
4JPMJPMORGAN CHASE & CO.history →COM2.95%$1M4.0K
5NFLXNETFLIX INChistory →COM2.81%$1M13.1K
6IWMISHARES TRRUSSELL 2000 ETF · CORE S&P SCP ETF2.60%$1M5.8K
7DXCMDEXCOM INChistory →COM2.19%$954,46714.4K
8MCHPMICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY INC.history →COM2.15%$939,87014.8K
9METAMETA PLATFORMS INChistory →CL A2.13%$928,0871.4K
10TTDTHE TRADE DESK INChistory →COM CL A2.00%$873,08023.0K
11MDLZMONDELEZ INTL INChistory →CL A1.94%$845,13115.7K
12DISDISNEY WALT COhistory →COM1.75%$764,6486.7K
13ABTABBOTT LABShistory →COM1.75%$764,2696.1K
14COOCOOPER COS INChistory →COM1.69%$737,6409.0K
15KRESPDR SERIES TRUSThistory →STATE STREET SPD1.66%$725,87211.2K
16EFXEQUIFAX INChistory →COM1.59%$691,9493.2K
17PINSPINTEREST INChistory →CL A1.58%$688,67426.6K
18LULULULULEMON ATHLETICA INChistory →COM1.50%$656,2643.2K
19CARRCARRIER GLOBAL CORPORATIONhistory →COM1.39%$607,66011.5K
20EXKEXACT SCIENCES CORPhistory →COM1.38%$601,4385.9K
21CVSCVS HEALTH CORPhistory →COM1.32%$575,2017.2K
22PAYXPAYCHEX INChistory →COM1.30%$568,1925.1K
23CPRTCOPART INChistory →COM1.28%$559,45414.3K
24SDASEALED AIR CORP NEWhistory →COM1.26%$551,76513.3K
25SMRNUSCALE PWR CORPhistory →CL A COM1.26%$551,05738.9K
26HRLHORMEL FOODS CORPhistory →COM1.16%$504,81021.3K
27TUTELUS CORPORATIONhistory →COM1.07%$464,90135.3K
28FASTFASTENAL COhistory →COM1.03%$449,45611.2K
29BHFBRIGHTHOUSE FINL INCCOM0.96%$418,9326.5K
30LKQLKQ CORPCOM0.92%$401,84113.3K
31NLYANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INCOM NEW0.91%$398,00817.8K
32SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF TRTR UNIT0.91%$395,514580
33OXYOCCIDENTAL PETE CORPCOM0.89%$386,5289.4K
34SAPSAP SESPON ADR0.88%$383,3121.6K
35GISGENERAL MLS INCCOM0.86%$376,9768.1K
36FISVFISERV INCCOM0.86%$376,1525.6K
37BF/BBROWN FORMAN CORPCL B0.85%$370,05214.2K
38LYFTLYFT INCCL A COM0.84%$368,03019.0K
39CHWYCHEWY INCCL A0.84%$364,54211.0K
40HASHASBRO INCCOM0.83%$360,8004.4K
41MELIMERCADOLIBRE INCCOM0.82%$356,524177
42ACHRARCHER AVIATION INCCOM CL A0.78%$339,15245.1K
43TOSTTOAST INCCL A0.77%$337,3459.5K
44WULFTERAWULF INCCOM0.75%$328,61428.6K
45HALOHALOZYME THERAPEUTICS INCCOM0.74%$323,3094.8K
46EXMOCEXXON MOBIL CORPCOM0.72%$312,8842.6K
47CMGCHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INCCOM0.71%$307,7668.3K
48TXNTEXAS INSTRS INCCOM0.69%$303,0871.7K
49BAXBAXTER INTL INCCOM0.68%$298,11615.6K
50ULTAULTA BEAUTY INCCOM0.67%$292,825484
51ELANELANCO ANIMAL HEALTH INCCOM0.67%$291,92712.9K
52PKPARK HOTELS & RESORTS INCCOM0.67%$290,78827.8K
53OSCROSCAR HEALTH INCCL A0.67%$290,27420.2K
54CSCOCISCO SYS INCCOM0.65%$285,0113.7K
55XLBSELECT SECTOR SPDR TRSTATE STREET MAT0.64%$281,1706.2K
56ADBEADOBE INCCOM0.64%$279,992800
57EBAYEBAY INC.COM0.64%$278,7203.2K
58CPNGCOUPANG INCCL A0.63%$273,99811.6K
59ELFE L F BEAUTY INCCOM0.63%$273,6683.6K
60CVNACARVANA COCL A0.63%$273,469648
61NRGNRG ENERGY INCCOM NEW0.62%$270,7081.7K
62CVECENOVUS ENERGY INCCOM0.62%$269,02815.9K
63AXONAXON ENTERPRISE INCCOM0.61%$265,791468
64EMREMERSON ELEC COCOM0.61%$265,4402.0K
65GEHCGE HEALTHCARE TECHNOLOGIES ICOMMON STOCK0.60%$262,4643.2K
66DUOLDUOLINGO INCCL A COM0.59%$257,4581.5K
67COPCONOCOPHILLIPSCOM0.59%$256,9592.7K
68STMSTMICROELECTRONICS N VNY REGISTRY0.57%$249,5179.6K
69INTUINTUITCOM0.57%$247,083373
70RELYREMITLY GLOBAL INCCOM0.57%$247,02017.9K
71NATIONAL STORAGE AFFILIATESCOM SHS BEN IN0.55%$238,1218.4K
72IOTSAMSARA INCCOM CL A0.54%$237,5156.7K
73VMCVULCAN MATLS COCOM0.54%$237,018831
74SOFISOFI TECHNOLOGIES INCCOM0.54%$235,6209.0K
75IRENIREN LIMITEDORDINARY SHARES0.53%$230,3976.1K
76TGTTARGET CORPCOM0.50%$219,7422.2K
77ADMARCHER DANIELS MIDLAND COCOM0.50%$218,8073.8K
78GENGEN DIGITAL INCCOM0.50%$217,5208.0K
79LUNRINTUITIVE MACHINES INCCLASS A COM0.50%$216,94613.4K
80FSKFS KKR CAP CORPCOM0.49%$214,70114.5K
81PSKYPARAMOUNT SKYDANCE CORPCOM CL B0.49%$214,40016.0K
82ANFABERCROMBIE & FITCH COCL A0.49%$213,9791.7K
83APAAPA CORPORATIONCOM0.49%$212,8028.7K
84HMYHARMONY GOLD MINING CO LTDSPONSORED ADR0.49%$211,95510.7K
85ONONON HLDG AGNAMEN AKT A0.48%$209,1604.5K
86CARTMAPLEBEAR INCCOM0.47%$206,9084.6K
87MDBMONGODB INCCL A0.47%$205,648490
88APPAPPLOVIN CORPCOM CL A0.47%$203,494302
89RUNSUNRUN INCCOM0.46%$200,56010.9K
90MNKDMANNKIND CORPCOM NEW0.46%$199,58435.2K
91MGNIMAGNITE INCCOM0.45%$194,54912.0K
92AGNCAGNC INVT CORPCOM0.44%$190,81617.8K
93DAY ONE BIOPHARMACEUTICALS ICOM0.43%$188,98220.3K
94OPENOPENDOOR TECHNOLOGIES INCCOM0.41%$178,98130.7K
95NOMDNOMAD FOODS LTDUSD ORD SHS0.40%$172,46313.8K
96AIC3 AI INCCL A0.36%$159,06411.8K
97EOSEEOS ENERGY ENTERPRISES INCCOM CL A0.32%$138,66612.1K
98ITUBITAU UNIBANCO HLDG S ASPON ADR REP PFD0.31%$136,95619.1K
99CNHCNH INDL N VSHS0.31%$136,45614.8K
100DEIDOUGLAS EMMETT INCCOM0.27%$118,68110.8K

Filing History

QuarterReported ValuePositionsFiledTypeLinks
Q1 2026$82M137May 15, 202613F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2025$44M108Feb 17, 202613F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2025$490M503Nov 14, 202513F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2025$633M509Aug 14, 202513F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2025$604M566May 15, 202513F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2024$817M647Feb 14, 202513F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2024$853M642Nov 14, 202413F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2024$873M682Aug 14, 202413F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2024$1.0B747May 15, 202413F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2023$942M704Feb 14, 202413F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2023$876M661Nov 14, 202313F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2023$931M749Aug 14, 202313F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2023$808M744May 15, 202313F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2022$684M741Feb 14, 202313F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2022$493M661Nov 14, 202213F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2022$537M745Aug 15, 202213F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2022$670M754May 16, 202213F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2021$316M360Feb 14, 202213F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2021$345M362Nov 15, 202113F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2021$383M387Aug 13, 202113F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2021$435M513May 14, 202113F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2020$383M431Feb 12, 202113F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2020$409M497Nov 12, 202013F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2020$453M502Aug 14, 202013F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2020$463M752May 15, 202013F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2019$585M578Feb 14, 202013F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2019$529M501Nov 13, 201913F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2019$484M484Aug 13, 201913F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2019$521M526May 14, 201913F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2018$488M592Feb 13, 201913F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗

13F filings are due up to 45 days after quarter end, so holdings shown here lag the fund’s current book. Source: original SEC filing on EDGAR ↗.