SEC 13F Intelligence

Managers / Q4 2018 · view latest →

Bayesian Capital Management, LP

CIK 0001632551 · 54 COLERIDGE STREET, BROOKLYN, NY, 11235 · 718-332-4567

Reported Value
$488M
Q4 2018
Positions
592
Filings on Record
30
2019–present window
Filed
Feb 13, 2019
original filing

Summary

Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported $488M in U.S.-listed holdings across 592 positions for Q4 2018.

Its largest position, NKE, represents 1.6% of the portfolio.

Portfolio Metrics

Top-10 Concentration
+12.3%
share of reported value
Largest Position
+1.6%
Nike

Methodology: turnover is min(value bought, value sold) ÷ average reported value across the two quarters — value-based, so market moves inflate it slightly versus a share-based measure. Concentration and largest position are shares of the filing’s total reported value, options excluded, with multiple share classes and repeated sub-manager rows for the same issuer combined into one position — the same rule the holdings table uses by default. New/exited counts compare against the prior filed quarter. All figures derive solely from the fund’s 13F filings.

Reported Value by Quarter

13F Reported Value
Q4 ’18: $488MQ4 ’18Q1 ’19: $521MQ2 ’19: $484MQ3 ’19: $529MQ4 ’19: $585MQ4 ’19Q1 ’20: $463MQ2 ’20: $453MQ3 ’20: $409MQ4 ’20: $383MQ4 ’20Q1 ’21: $435MQ2 ’21: $383MQ3 ’21: $345MQ4 ’21: $316MQ4 ’21Q1 ’22: $670MQ2 ’22: $537MQ3 ’22: $493MQ4 ’22: $684MQ4 ’22Q1 ’23: $808MQ2 ’23: $931MQ3 ’23: $876MQ4 ’23: $942MQ4 ’23Q1 ’24: $1.0BQ2 ’24: $873MQ3 ’24: $853MQ4 ’24: $817MQ4 ’24Q1 ’25: $604MQ2 ’25: $633MQ3 ’25: $490MQ4 ’25: $44MQ4 ’25Q1 ’26: $82Mfilingsflow.com

Portfolio Composition

By security type
Common Stock: 86.6%Other: 7.2%ADR: 2.9%ETP: 2.0%REIT: 1.1%Other: 0.2%
  • Common Stock · 86.6% · $423M
  • Other · 7.2% · $35M
  • ADR · 2.9% · $14M
  • ETP · 2.0% · $10M
  • REIT · 1.1% · $5M
  • Other · 0.2% · $910,000

Quarter-over-Quarter Changes full breakdown →

IssuerMoveShare ΔShares nowValue ΔValue now
NKENIKE INCNEW+106.4K106.4K+$8M$8M
MSFTMICROSOFT CORPNEW+74.5K74.5K+$8M$8M
AAPLAPPLE INCNEW+44.2K44.2K+$7M$7M
MDTMEDTRONIC PLCNEW+69.1K69.1K+$6M$6M
WMTWALMART INCNEW+62.5K62.5K+$6M$6M
ELLAUDER ESTEE COS INCNEW+43.9K43.9K+$6M$6M
EXPEEXPEDIA GROUP INCNEW+46.2K46.2K+$5M$5M
MDLZMONDELEZ INTL INCNEW+125.7K125.7K+$5M$5M

Value changes conflate price moves with buying and selling — share changes are the real signal. Share counts are not split-adjusted.

Holdings — Q4 2018

496 positions
Export to Excel
#IssuerClass% PortfolioValue ↓Shares
1NKENIKE INChistory →CL B1.61%$8M106.4K
2MSFTMICROSOFT CORPhistory →COM1.55%$8M74.5K
3AAPLAPPLE INChistory →COM1.43%$7M44.2K
4MDTMEDTRONIC PLChistory →SHS1.29%$6M69.1K
5WMTWALMART INChistory →COM1.19%$6M62.5K
6ELLAUDER ESTEE COS INChistory →CL A1.17%$6M43.9K
7EXPEEXPEDIA GROUP INChistory →COM NEW1.07%$5M46.2K
8MDLZMONDELEZ INTL INChistory →CL A1.03%$5M125.7K
9BRK/BBERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC DELCL B NEW · CL A1.01%$5M18.1K
10CSCOCISCO SYS INCCOM0.98%$5M110.2K
11AAPADVANCE AUTO PARTS INCCOM0.95%$5M29.5K
12XILINX INCCOM0.91%$4M52.2K
13ROPROPER TECHNOLOGIES INCCOM0.90%$4M16.4K
14DHRDANAHER CORP DELCOM0.79%$4M37.6K
15CMCSACOMCAST CORP NEWCL A0.79%$4M113.3K
16CIENCIENA CORPCOM NEW0.75%$4M108.6K
17WBAWALGREENS BOOTS ALLIANCE INCCOM0.75%$4M53.6K
18ADSKAUTODESK INCCOM0.75%$4M28.4K
19CITRIX SYS INCCOM0.74%$4M35.1K
20UAAUNDER ARMOUR INCCL A · CL C0.73%$4M209.8K
21SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF TRTR UNIT0.73%$4M14.2K
22MOHMOLINA HEALTHCARE INCCOM0.67%$3M28.4K
23TMUST MOBILE US INCCOM0.67%$3M51.5K
24TTWOTAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARCOM0.67%$3M31.8K
25VZVERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INCCOM0.66%$3M57.4K
26AVGOBROADCOM INCCOM0.63%$3M12.1K
27KEYSKEYSIGHT TECHNOLOGIES INCCOM0.62%$3M48.6K
28TPRTAPESTRY INCCOM0.62%$3M89.3K
29GISGENERAL MLS INCCOM0.59%$3M73.4K
30SBUXSTARBUCKS CORPCOM0.56%$3M42.1K
31BIIBBIOGEN INCCOM0.56%$3M9.0K
32CYBERARK SOFTWARE LTDSHS0.55%$3M36.3K
33ETSYETSY INCCOM0.55%$3M56.4K
34CMGCHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INCCOM0.54%$3M6.2K
35DXCMDEXCOM INCCOM0.54%$3M22.0K
36AMEDAMEDISYS INCCOM0.52%$3M21.8K
37TWLOTWILIO INCCL A0.52%$3M28.5K
38FXIISHARES TRCHINA LG-CAP ETF · IBOXX INV CP ETF0.50%$2M57.4K
39WORLDPAY INCCL A0.48%$2M30.5K
40NATIONAL INSTRS CORPCOM0.47%$2M51.0K
41ZBRAZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES CORPCL A0.46%$2M14.2K
42MELLANOX TECHNOLOGIES LTDSHS0.45%$2M23.6K
43UALUNITED CONTL HLDGS INCCOM0.44%$2M25.9K
44TGTTARGET CORPCOM0.43%$2M31.5K
45CDNSCADENCE DESIGN SYSTEM INCCOM0.42%$2M46.9K
46CSXCSX CORPCOM0.42%$2M32.8K
47APHAMPHENOL CORP NEWCL A0.39%$2M23.8K
48AMGNAMGEN INCCOM0.39%$2M9.9K
49TMOTHERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC INCCOM0.38%$2M8.4K
50FFIVF5 NETWORKS INCCOM0.38%$2M11.6K
51FIVEFIVE BELOW INCCOM0.38%$2M18.2K
52ARMKARAMARKCOM0.37%$2M63.0K
53PANWPALO ALTO NETWORKS INCCOM0.37%$2M9.5K
54DSW INCCL A0.37%$2M72.3K
55PLNTPLANET FITNESS INCCL A0.36%$2M33.2K
56CVSCVS HEALTH CORPCOM0.36%$2M27.2K
57MSMORGAN STANLEYCOM NEW0.36%$2M44.9K
58JBLJABIL INCCOM0.35%$2M68.1K
59UTXZUNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORPCOM0.34%$2M15.8K
60QGENQIAGEN NVSHS NEW0.33%$2M47.3K
61PANDORA MEDIA INCCOM0.33%$2M200.8K
62TSSTOTAL SYS SVCS INCCOM0.33%$2M20.0K
63SPLUNK INCCOM0.33%$2M15.5K
64VARIAN MED SYS INCCOM0.33%$2M14.3K
65ZENDESK INCCOM0.33%$2M27.5K
66CAGCONAGRA BRANDS INCCOM0.33%$2M74.8K
67ORCLORACLE CORPCOM0.33%$2M35.3K
68NCLHNORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HLDG LSHS0.32%$2M37.1K
69GOOSCANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INCSHS SUB VTG0.32%$2M35.5K
70GRACE W R & CO DEL NEWCOM0.32%$2M23.9K
71FIVNFIVE9 INCCOM0.32%$2M35.3K
72ALRMALARM COM HLDGS INCCOM0.31%$2M29.5K
73DRIDARDEN RESTAURANTS INCCOM0.31%$2M15.3K
74LAM RESEARCH CORPCOM0.31%$2M11.2K
75EXELEXELIXIS INCCOM0.31%$2M77.2K
76HCAHCA HEALTHCARE INCCOM0.31%$2M12.2K
77JACKJACK IN THE BOX INCCOM0.31%$1M19.3K
78KLACKLA-TENCOR CORPCOM0.31%$1M16.7K
79CCITIGROUP INCCOM NEW0.31%$1M28.7K
80CARGCARGURUS INCCOM CL A0.30%$1M44.0K
81GOOGLALPHABET INCCAP STK CL A · CAP STK CL C0.30%$1M1.4K
82MCDMCDONALDS CORPCOM0.30%$1M8.2K
83AMTAMERICAN TOWER CORP NEWCOM0.29%$1M9.1K
84SONYSONY CORPSPONSORED ADR0.29%$1M29.7K
85ILMNILLUMINA INCCOM0.29%$1M4.8K
86ADMARCHER DANIELS MIDLAND COCOM0.29%$1M34.8K
87ATLASSIAN CORP PLCCL A0.29%$1M15.9K
88HELEHELEN OF TROY CORP LTDCOM0.28%$1M10.5K
89WRIGHT MED GROUP N VORD SHS 0.03 PAR0.28%$1M50.3K
90TERTERADYNE INCCOM0.28%$1M43.1K
91CDWCDW CORPCOM0.28%$1M16.6K
92FLSFLOWSERVE CORPCOM0.27%$1M35.3K
93AAGILENT TECHNOLOGIES INCCOM0.27%$1M19.8K
94KOCOCA COLA COCOM0.27%$1M28.1K
95ERICERICSSONADR B SEK 100.27%$1M150.0K
96ITTITT INCCOM0.27%$1M27.3K
97TTDTHE TRADE DESK INCCOM CL A0.27%$1M11.3K
98SNPSSYNOPSYS INCCOM0.27%$1M15.4K
99HD SUPPLY HLDGS INCCOM0.26%$1M34.5K
100MOSMOSAIC CO NEWCOM0.26%$1M44.2K

Filing History

QuarterReported ValuePositionsFiledTypeLinks
Q1 2026$82M137May 15, 202613F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2025$44M108Feb 17, 202613F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2025$490M503Nov 14, 202513F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2025$633M509Aug 14, 202513F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2025$604M566May 15, 202513F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2024$817M647Feb 14, 202513F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2024$853M642Nov 14, 202413F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2024$873M682Aug 14, 202413F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2024$1.0B747May 15, 202413F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2023$942M704Feb 14, 202413F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2023$876M661Nov 14, 202313F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2023$931M749Aug 14, 202313F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2023$808M744May 15, 202313F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2022$684M741Feb 14, 202313F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2022$493M661Nov 14, 202213F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2022$537M745Aug 15, 202213F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2022$670M754May 16, 202213F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2021$316M360Feb 14, 202213F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2021$345M362Nov 15, 202113F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2021$383M387Aug 13, 202113F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2021$435M513May 14, 202113F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2020$383M431Feb 12, 202113F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2020$409M497Nov 12, 202013F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2020$453M502Aug 14, 202013F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2020$463M752May 15, 202013F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2019$585M578Feb 14, 202013F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q3 2019$529M501Nov 13, 201913F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q2 2019$484M484Aug 13, 201913F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q1 2019$521M526May 14, 201913F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗
Q4 2018$488M592Feb 13, 201913F-HRchanges · EDGAR ↗

13F filings are due up to 45 days after quarter end, so holdings shown here lag the fund’s current book. Source: original SEC filing on EDGAR ↗.