Managers / Q3 2025 · view latest →
High Probability Advisors, LLC
CIK 0002039415 · 167 SULLY'S TRAIL, SUITE 300, PITTSFORD, NY, 14534 · 585-485-0135
Summary
High Probability Advisors, LLC reported $729M in U.S.-listed holdings across 65 positions for Q3 2025.
Its largest position, Goldman Sachs Etf Tr, represents 14.5% of the portfolio.
Compared with Q2 2025, the fund opened 5 new positions and exited 0.
Portfolio Metrics
Methodology: turnover is min(value bought, value sold) ÷ average reported value across the two quarters — value-based, so market moves inflate it slightly versus a share-based measure. Concentration and largest position are shares of the filing’s total reported value, options excluded. New/exited counts compare against the prior filed quarter. All figures derive solely from the fund’s 13F filings.
Reported Value by Quarter
Portfolio Composition
- ETP · 98.9% · $721M
- Common Stock · 0.7% · $5M
- REIT · 0.3% · $2M
- Other · 0.1% · $1M
Quarter-over-Quarter Changes full breakdown →
vs Q2 2025 (amended baseline)
| Issuer | Move | Share Δ | Shares now | Value Δ | Value now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | NEW | +4.8K | 4.8K | +$480,629 | $480,629 |
| NVDANVIDIA CORPORATION | NEW | +1.5K | 1.5K | +$272,407 | $272,407 |
| VVISA INC | NEW | +727 | 727 | +$248,184 | $248,184 |
| VANGUARD TAX-MANAGED FDS | NEW | +3.8K | 3.8K | +$228,382 | $228,382 |
| DFUSUSDDIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | NEW | +2.9K | 2.9K | +$209,443 | $209,443 |
| GOOGLALPHABET INC | ADDED | +714 | 1.9K | +$252,547 | $460,675 |
| BNLBROADSTONE NET LEASE INC | TRIMMED | −12.2K | 57.7K | −$90,065 | $1M |
| HDHOME DEPOT INC | ADDED | +122 | 905 | +$79,613 | $366,643 |
Value changes conflate price moves with buying and selling — share changes are the real signal. Share counts are not split-adjusted.
Holdings — Q3 2025
| # | Issuer | Class | % Portfolio | Value ↓ | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACWIISHARES TRhistory → | MSCI USA MMENTM · NEW YORK MUN ETF · MSCI USA MIN VOL · 0-5YR HI YL CP · CORE S&P US VLU · MSCI INTL VLU FT · RUSSELL 3000 ETF · RESIDENTIAL MULT · CORE MSCI TOTAL · RUS 1000 VAL ETF · MSCI ACWI EX US · RUSSELL 2000 ETF · CORE S&P500 ETF · S&P 100 ETF · INTRM GOV CR ETF · 3 7 YR TREAS BD · MSCI ACWI ETF · CORE S&P SCP ETF | 29.51% | $215M | 2.47M |
| 2 | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | ACTIVEBETA US LG · ACTIVEBETA INT · ACCES TREASURY | 21.52% | $157M | 1.93M |
| 3 | DUHPDIMENSIONAL ETF TRUSThistory → | US HIGH PROFITAB · INTL HIGH PROFIT · US CORE EQUITY 2 · US TARGETED VLU | 12.83% | $94M | 2.70M |
| 4 | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | SHT TM US TRES · INT-TRM U.S TRES · FUNDAMENTAL INTL · US BRD MKT ETF | 10.73% | $78M | 2.94M |
| 5 | AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR | US SML CP VALU · AVANTIS EMGMKT | 7.17% | $52M | 597.5K |
| 6 | FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST | VLU FACTOR ETF · QLTY FCTOR ETF | 7.15% | $52M | 731.0K |
| 7 | SPDR SERIES TRUST | PORTFOLIO INTRMD · PORTFOLIO LN TSR · PORTFOLIO S&P500 · PORTFOLIO S&P400 | 5.45% | $40M | 1.17M |
| 8 | BLACKROCK ETF TRUST | ISHARES US EQUIT | 3.47% | $25M | 428.0K |
| 9 | VANGUARD MUN BD FDS | TAX EXEMPT BD | 0.54% | $4M | 78.2K |
| 10 | SPDR S&P 500 ETF TR | TR UNIT | 0.25% | $2M | 2.7K |
| 11 | AAPLAPPLE INC | COM | 0.17% | $1M | 5.0K |
| 12 | BNLBROADSTONE NET LEASE INC | COM | 0.14% | $1M | 57.7K |
| 13 | MSFTMICROSOFT CORP | COM | 0.13% | $951,993 | 1.8K |
| 14 | AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC | COM | 0.09% | $640,939 | 3.3K |
| 15 | TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC | SHS | 0.08% | $573,866 | 1.4K |
| 16 | GOOGLALPHABET INC | CAP STK CL A | 0.06% | $460,675 | 1.9K |
| 17 | EATON CORP PLC | SHS | 0.06% | $458,831 | 1.2K |
| 18 | TSLATESLA INC | COM | 0.05% | $376,678 | 847 |
| 19 | HIGHARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP INC | COM | 0.05% | $366,823 | 2.8K |
Filing History
| Quarter | Reported Value | Positions | Filed | Type | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $781M | 67 | Apr 13, 2026 | 13F-HR | changes · EDGAR ↗ |
| Q4 2025 | $750M | 73 | Jan 29, 2026 | 13F-HR | changes · EDGAR ↗ |
| Q3 2025 | $729M | 65 | Oct 14, 2025 | 13F-HR | changes · EDGAR ↗ |
| Q2 2025 | $669M | 60 | Jul 9, 2025 | 13F-HR | changes · EDGAR ↗ |
| Q1 2025 | $600M | 55 | Apr 16, 2025 | 13F-HR | changes · EDGAR ↗ |
| Q4 2024 | $558M | 55 | Jan 17, 2025 | 13F-HR | changes · EDGAR ↗ |
| Q3 2024 | $163M | 33 | Nov 14, 2024 | 13F-HR | changes · EDGAR ↗ |
13F filings are due up to 45 days after quarter end, so holdings shown here lag the fund’s current book. Source: original SEC filing on EDGAR ↗.